新消费品牌近年普遍进入增长瓶颈,核心动因可归纳为品牌底层价值构建缺失,未能建立起穿越周期的核心壁垒。而作为东方香氛赛道的代表性品牌,观夏在行业收缩期的差异化布局具备典型研究价值。
本文从产业逻辑维度拆解观夏2023-2024年的核心战略动作,分析其增长路径的合理性与潜在风险。
赛道底层逻辑与差异化定位
观夏成立于2019年,核心赛道为香氛家居与香氛个护。从国内香氛行业基本面看,2023年市场规模约180-220亿元,年复合增长率保持在25%-30%,处于快速渗透期。
该赛道存在明显的二元门槛特征:生产端技术壁垒极低,调香、生产均可通过外包模式快速落地;消费端品牌壁垒极高,产品核心价值锚定情绪价值与审美认同,用户决策核心并非功能需求,而是产品传递的文化符号、情感共鸣与身份标签,因此竞争核心维度并非性价比,而是审美体系、品牌叙事与用户心智占位。
当前国内高端香氛市场由Diptyque、祖·玛珑等国际品牌主导,国产品牌普遍集中于中腰部价格带竞争。观夏选择的"东方香氛"定位,是区别于国际品牌的核心差异化切口,精准契合当前文化消费复苏的趋势:其产品命名如"颐和金桂""昆仑煮雪""浮光竹影"均依托中国传统山水意象与节气文化,本质是构建国际品牌无法复制的文化叙事壁垒,完成了初步的心智区隔。
早期冷启动路径
观夏初期产品矩阵涵盖晶石扩香、香薰蜡烛、香水三类,定价较国产同类品牌高出100%以上,瞄准中高端消费群体。冷启动阶段采用"微信小程序限量发售"模式,固定每周四上新,通过稀缺性设置完成初期用户筛选与品牌调性建立,本质是"小范围产品测试+饥饿营销"的组合策略,快速完成了种子用户积累与品牌声量破圈。
2023-2024年核心战略动作拆解
近年观夏的核心动作可归纳为三个维度:线下自营店布局、产品线延伸、价格体系刚性维护。
线下自营触点建设
2023至2024年,观夏先后在北京国子监、上海、杭州、深圳、成都、南京等核心城市落地10余家自营体验店,全部采用独立设计、自主运营模式,拒绝进入商场中岛、美妆集合店等传统渠道。
该策略符合香氛品类的消费特性:香氛属于强体验型产品,嗅觉感知无法通过线上内容完全传递,线下场景是完成用户认知的核心触点。观夏的门店普遍采用强文化属性的设计语言,如国子监店由传统古建改造,本身成为城市文化打卡点,既完成了品牌实体感知的落地,也强化了高端品牌的信任感。
当前公开渠道暂未披露门店实际运营数据,其盈利能力仍待验证。需注意的是,线下店的快速扩张对服务标准化、体验一致性提出极高要求,若门店运营能力无法匹配扩张速度,反而可能造成品牌资产稀释。
产品线延伸策略
观夏初期产品仅覆盖晶石扩香、香薰蜡烛两类家居香氛,目前已延伸至香水、洗护、身体护理等品类,价格带覆盖几十元的香氛皂至上千元的大容量香水,形成了完整的梯度产品矩阵。
从商业逻辑看,单一品类无法支撑线下门店的坪效要求,丰富的产品矩阵可满足到店用户的多元消费需求;同时洗护类产品属于高频消耗品,复购率显著高于低频消费的家居香氛,可优化品牌的营收结构。
但需注意的是,观夏当前的核心能力集中于审美表达与品牌叙事,配方研发、功能验证并非其原有优势。洗护类产品的核心决策因素包含功能属性,若无法满足用户对护理功效的预期,将面临与欧舒丹等具备数十年个护研发积累的品牌的直接竞争,品类延伸的同时需要同步构建"不可替代性"的核心价值支撑。
价格体系刚性维护
观夏自成立以来始终坚持正价销售,不参与618、双11等电商大促,不布局直播带货渠道,长期维持价格体系稳定。
该策略在新消费品牌中具备稀缺性:多数新消费品牌最终会陷入"打折换销量"的路径依赖,一旦价格体系击穿,品牌调性将不可逆地受损。观夏对价格体系的严格维护,本质是对高端品牌定位的长期坚守,体现了较强的战略定力。
总结与未来挑战
观夏在行业收缩期选择逆势扩张,与多数选择收缩、降价保生存的新消费品牌形成鲜明差异,核心是其已经初步建立了品牌心智壁垒。但扩张的可持续性,仍取决于底层能力的进一步夯实,核心待解问题包括产品不可替代性构建、供应链壁垒强化、品牌影响力边界延伸、价值主张具象化等。
长期来看,观夏需要完成三个方向的能力建设:向上要打通供应链端的壁垒,形成独家原料、独家配方的技术沉淀;向下要强化洗护类产品的功能属性,夯实产品硬实力;横向要构建完整的文化价值体系,让用户对品牌的认知从"桂花味的蜡烛"升级为对一套明确文化符号、生活方式的认同。
The Growth Strategy and Future Challenges of Scent Brand ToSummer Amid the New Consumer Downturn
Most new consumer brands have hit growth bottlenecks in recent years, rooted in a fundamental lack of underlying value construction and the failure to build cycle-defying core competitive moats. As a representative player in the oriental fragrance track, ToSummer’s differentiated layout amid industry contraction offers high research value.
This article deconstructs ToSummer’s core strategic moves from 2023 to 2024 from an industrial logic perspective, analyzing the rationality and potential risks of its growth trajectory.
Underlying Track Logic and Differentiated Positioning
Founded in 2019, ToSummer focuses on home fragrance and personal scent care. China’s domestic fragrance industry is in a rapid penetration stage, with a market size of approximately RMB 18–22 billion in 2023 and a steady annual compound growth rate of 25%–30%.
The track features a distinct dual-threshold structure. On the production side, technical barriers are extremely low; fragrance formulation and mass production can be rapidly outsourced. On the consumer side, however, brand barriers are remarkably high. The core value of fragrance products lies in emotional satisfaction and aesthetic recognition rather than functional utility. Consumer purchasing decisions are driven by cultural symbolism, emotional resonance and identity labeling embedded in products. Accordingly, competition in this sector does not center on cost performance, but on aesthetic systems, brand narratives, and consumer mindshare occupation.
China’s high-end fragrance market is currently dominated by international brands such as Diptyque and Jo Malone, while most domestic brands compete in the mid-tier price segment. ToSummer’s positioning as an oriental fragrance brand creates a core differentiation from international players and precisely aligns with the ongoing revival of cultural consumption. Its iconic product names — Summer Osmanthus of the Imperial Garden, Snow Over Kunlun, Bamboo Shadow in Floating Light — draw on traditional Chinese landscape imagery and solar-term culture. This builds culturally driven competitive moats that overseas brands cannot replicate, enabling the brand to achieve initial cognitive differentiation in consumers’ minds.
Early Cold-Start Strategy
In its early stage, ToSummer launched three core product lines: crystal diffusers, scented candles, and perfumes. Priced over 100% higher than peer domestic brands, it targeted mid-to-high-end consumer groups. It adopted a WeChat mini-program limited-release model with fixed weekly new launches every Thursday. By leveraging scarcity operation to screen initial users and establish premium brand tonality, the brand combined small-scale product testing with hunger marketing, rapidly accumulating seed users and breaking through mainstream brand awareness.
Deconstruction of Core Strategic Moves (2023–2024)
ToSummer’s recent strategies fall into three dimensions: offline self-operated store expansion, product line extension, and rigid price system maintenance.
Offline Self-operated Touchpoint Construction
From 2023 to 2024, ToSummer opened more than ten self-operated experiential stores in core cities including Beijing, Shanghai, Hangzhou, Shenzhen, Chengdu and Nanjing. All stores feature exclusive customized design and independent operation, refusing traditional channel formats such as mall kiosks and beauty collection stores.
This strategy fits the experiential nature of fragrance products. Olfactory perception cannot be fully conveyed through online content, making offline scenarios the core touchpoint for consumer cognition. ToSummer’s stores adopt highly culture-oriented design languages. For example, its Beijing Guozijian store is renovated from a traditional ancient building, evolving into a cultural check-in landmark. The layout delivers tangible brand experience and strengthens premium brand credibility.
As official operational data remains undisclosed, the profitability of offline stores is yet to be verified. Rapid store expansion imposes stringent requirements on service standardization and consistent customer experience. If operational capabilities fail to match expansion speed, brand equity may be diluted instead.
Product Line Extension Strategy
Initially limited to crystal diffusers and scented candles, ToSummer’s product portfolio has expanded to perfumes, body wash, shampoo and personal care products. Its price range now covers low-priced fragrance soap (dozens of RMB) to high-capacity premium perfumes (over one thousand RMB), forming a complete gradient product matrix.
From a commercial perspective, a single product category cannot support the floor efficiency of offline stores. A diversified product portfolio meets the multi-dimensional consumption demands of in-store visitors. Meanwhile, personal cleansing and care products are high-frequency consumer goods with significantly higher repurchase rates than low-frequency home fragrances, effectively optimizing the brand’s revenue structure.
Nevertheless, ToSummer’s core competencies remain concentrated in aesthetic expression and cultural brand narration, with no inherent advantages in formula R&D and functional verification. Personal care products compete heavily on functional performance. Without meeting consumer expectations for grooming efficacy, ToSummer will face direct competition with established personal care brands such as L’Occitane, which boast decades of R&D accumulation. Category expansion must be accompanied by the development of irreplicable core value support.
Rigid Maintenance of the Price System
Since its founding, ToSummer has adhered strictly to full-price sales. It refuses to participate in major e-commerce shopping festivals such as 618 and Double 11, and avoids live-stream sales channels, sustaining long-term price stability.
This strategy is rare among new consumer brands. Most peers fall into the path dependency of “trading discounts for sales volume”, with broken price systems causing irreversible damage to brand tonality. ToSummer’s strict price discipline reflects long-term adherence to high-end positioning and solid strategic composure.
Conclusion and Future Challenges
Against the industry downturn, ToSummer chose counter-cyclical expansion, standing in sharp contrast with most new consumer brands that scale back operations and cut prices to survive. Its proactive layout is underpinned by initially established brand mindshare moats. Nevertheless, the sustainability of its expansion relies on further consolidation of underlying capabilities. Key unresolved challenges include building product irreplaceability, strengthening supply chain barriers, expanding brand influence boundaries, and concretizing brand value propositions.
In the long run, ToSummer needs to build capabilities in three directions. Vertically upstream, it must consolidate supply chain barriers through exclusive raw material reserves and proprietary formula R&D. Vertically downstream, it needs to strengthen the functional performance of personal care products to solidify product hard power. Horizontally, it must build a complete cultural value system, upgrading consumer perception from “osmanthus-scented candles” to full recognition of its unique cultural symbols and lifestyle propositions.